Arizona

Hillary Clinton has established a lead in the polls of Arizona. Taking the polls with a grain of salt, it is still a huge step in the alignment of future voters from Arizona. She is leading Donald Trump throughout Arizona, but especially with women and Hispanics after Trump's damaging rhetoric and racist remarks. While some Democrats were hoping to also upset John McCain in his senatorial race, now that seems like a slim chance. McCain, who has feuded with Donald since the beginning, has a solid 10 point lead over Ann Kirkpatrick and it probably will not change by election day. He has cut ties with Donald, and while that might hurt his standing among ultra-conservatives, it will only help him with the rest of the party that abhors Donald Trump. This race could have been a major swing for the Democrats who are hoping not only for a sweeping Clinton win, but also a sweep of the Senate. But McCain is not only hanging on, his support appears to be growing. He has a remarkable campaign machine that is led primarily by college and high school interns who devote their weekends to knocking on doors for the Senator. He also has full approval and use of RNC funds and staffers. This of course came after a strongly contested primary when he was challenged by a tea party conservative. Given the current state of politics in the state, I believe he will maintain his lead and keep his seat for his sixth term in the U.S. Senate.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/mccain-hangs-on-as-clinton-aims-at-winning-arizona/2016/10/24/786596b4-9702-11e6-bb29-bf2701dbe0a3_story.html

Joe Engels