Penzone verses Sheriff Joe

The democratic nominee for Maricopa County sheriff Paul Penzone is leading the incumbent Joe Arpaio by 15 points in a recent poll. The poll was conducted in light of recent federal charges brought up Arpaio in a racial-profiling case, and 15 points is a lot of points to be leading by. So this might be the year Sheriff Joe looses his prized seat he's held for the last 10000 years. There were some potential problems with the survey; maybe the pollers interviewed a disproportionate amount of Democratic voters, or maybe the pollers asked biased questions.  Ultimately, polls are polls: they're like the over/under for football games, where they tell a story on who might win, but don't too much until the game is actually played. However, 15 points is a wide margin of victory. This could be Sheriff Joe's last hoorah (I wonder what he'll do if he does lose the race...he'll probably have a late-life crisis and not know what to do with himself). 

http://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/elections/2016/10/20/poll-paul-penzone-leading-maricopa-county-sheriff-joe-arpaio-15-points/92427426/

--Andrew Moen